Jason Teaz's tips for Alexandra Park tonight
Form analyst Jason Teaz looks at tonight's races at Alexandra Park - July 30.
# denotes a horse trained by Jason and Megan Teaz.
1 Mach's Back
4 Callie's Delight
FABRIZIO was huge off the 20m handicap over the 2200m July 16. Home in 54.5 on that occasion. Only five others to get past tonight over the 2700m and 25m is not prohibitive. 50/50 at the start but if he steps he's the hardest to beat.
MACH'S BACK ran home himself in 55.3 and just couldn't get into it. Back to the front line tonight may help his chances majorly. Hard to beat.
WARLOCH faced mission impossible off the 35m handicap at Cambridge last week. Raced into fourth without ever looking likely. Back to his favourite track tonight and with any pace in the race it brings him into calculation.
CALLIE'S DELIGHT scored a dead heat victory with ROUGH AND READY July 16. Her fresh record suggested that could happen but her second up record is not as good. This is her time of year though.
3 Miss Slippers
7 Aldebaran Flame
2 Superfast Ninja
8 Majestic Harry#
MISS SLIPPERS had to endure being parked the trip July 16 but stuck on gamely for a close up fifth. With her manners and the senior driver back on tonight she should step to the front and on the strength of her trial win prior to the first up effort she's hard to beat.
ALDEBARAN FLAME looked a certainty on paper July 16 when dropping back to beat up the maidens. Had placed in this grade prior and the 2700m is a better proposition for her to settle down early. Can win.
SUPERFAST NINJA cost the punters plenty after galloping early as favourite last time. Prior form outstanding in tougher fields than this. Can atone.
MAJESTIC HARRY# was unlucky to get beaten by She Reigns and Ivegotbills last week at Cambridge. Strikes a winnable race but his latest efforts at Alexandra park have been woeful. Won his maiden here but take on trust.
SAINT MICHEL has moved stables. Racing well and drops in grade after sitting parked July 2. One for trifectas
SCRAPPYLITTLENOBODY didn't fire second up July 16. Eye-catching July 2. That was over the 2700m and her two best runs have been over the 2600 and 2700 metre journeys.
5 Midfrew Lucre
10 Magic Four
1 Korloff Noir
9 Matai Louis
MIDFREW LUCRE should have learned a lot from start number one July 16. Only qualified the week before so winning in same preparation as a maiden is an ask but this field is not strong. Ran home in 56.4 and 27.3 when running fifth and many of these can't go faster than that.
MAGIC FOUR also performed admirably on debut. Beat Midfrew Lucre home narrowly but ran home slightly slower. Faces a tricky second row draw but again has more upside than most.
KORLOFF NOIR has Auckland start number one tonight. Has trialed extensively right handed and has ability. From the ace draw should be in the fight.
One of her stablemate's MATAI LOUIS draws on her back. Hasn't taken to the right handed way 100% yet but should settle close enough to figure in the finish. Maybe a little disappointing when getting run down at Cambridge last week.
MAJOR HOLIDAY gets a rough draw at barrier eight. Mildly unlucky on debut last Thursday but will need luck. Is good enough though.
MARGOT did a fair bit of work in a fillies and mares maiden July 16 and was a brave third. This is harder but don't discount her.
JE T'AIME dead-heated July 22 at Cambridge so stays as a maiden. That was a strong performance coming from way back at the 800m mark but this field is stronger tonight.
8 Hill Of Peace
2 I Got Music
4 Minnie Bow Tique
5 My Royal Roxy
HILL OF PEACE put it all together July 2. Did a power of work that night and the key is that she has been purposely set for this as it's over the 2700m. Best horse in the race.
I GOT MUSIC is not much inferior. Hadn't trotted that well at the trials but stepped up hugely July 16. Still a massive work in progress but her only win came over the 2700m and that should suit her better. Remember her maiden win came against race winners so this company won't scare her.
MINNIE BOW TIQUE flies the mark but struggles over the 2700m as a rule. This is not a flash field and with the top two chances having manners issues, she just may be able to hold on tonight.
MY ROYAL ROXY is also foolproof so can be injected into first fours with confidence. Her last two placings have come over the 2700m and has won here.
JASINOVA is way better than the one win from 25 starts suggests but she makes mistakes early on and that has cost her in weaker fields lately. The 2700m is also a concern for a little three year old filly but she may need the distance to combat her manners and barrier one is a pain.
4 Doctor Steve
6 Getn Wiggy Withit
MANHATTAN is the big beneficiary from the change in conditions to this series. Only two runs in the north for two seconds against race winners. Strikes a field of battling maidens and even though she has drawn barrier seven she should win easily and won't have to go 1:55 to do it.
DOCTOR STEVE has steadily improved in each run in the north. Trialled superbly prior to the last start third too. Has gate speed and will be prominent.
BETYAHAVTIME has been the success story of the southern horses to have their three starts in Auckland. Just thwarted narrowly in a stronger maiden July 16. Drew 9 that night and scores barrier one tonight. If in the trail, is a place certainty.
GETN WIGGY WITHIT has moved stables to the Reid and McMullan stable. Has a truck load of ability and being in a bigger stable may make him. One thing that hasn't changed is the run of bad draws for this race day.
JOSHUA RICHARD clocked the fastest sectionals from July 16's maiden race, even though he only finished seventh. Home in 56.2 and a full second quicker than the winner on that occasion. A place chance.
7 King's Landing
4 In Sequence
3 Silver Power
'1 Emma Frost
KING'S LANDING had no chance July 16 from a 30m handicap over the 2200m. Back to the distance he won the Uncut Gems race late last month. Was slow away last time which didn't help. If at his best deserves favouritism.
IN SEQUENCE won well two weeks ago. Unlucky July 2 and will have no fears in backing up her victory then with another. The find of the last couple of months.
SILVER POWER moves forward in the handicaps tonight after being not suited to the 20m mark over the 2200m last start. Had to park out that night too. Sure to be in the fight early. Did win the Waikato Breeders stakes over this trip.
EMMA FROST is so consistent and even though outclassed will give her all and adds the value to first fours.
INVICTUS ran his best race this winter July 16. That was over his much loved 2200m trip. 20m behind tonight is closer than normal in this grade for him but the 2700m tests his winning chances.
CREDIT MASTER is the back marker off the 40m. He's hard to catch and he was very disappointing last time on July 2 but four weeks between runs helps as he enjoys racing on the fresh side.
1 Jack Tar
9 Hooray Henry
2 Little Miss Perfect
JACK TAR is one of the most overdue horses for a win going around. Beaten under a half length in his last four runs, which are all seconds. From barrier one he should trail at worst and get his chance to catch the bouquet.
HOORAY HENRY was a black booker first time out at Alexandra Park July 16. Ran his last half half a second quicker than Jack Tar that night. Dangerous on his back tonight and looms as the big danger.
PLATINUM improved markedly this month with two victories. Ran a 55.1 last half when winning July 16. This a tougher task off the wide draw, still a hope in the form she's in.
LITTLE MISS PERFECT gets away from preferential barrier draw racing tonight and lands barrier two. Looks the likely leader and can stick.
RUN MASON RUN had a tough introduction to Auckland racing with a 2:39 run and led early. There is scope for him to lead tonight and he may well not hand up as quickly as last time. Talented and can surprise.
OHOKA ACHILLES has dropped progressively in ratings points of late and even though he's drawn the second row his performances in stronger fields have been good enough to sneak some of this.
8 Commander Cathy
6 Art Nouveau
MELANION is an up and comer. Beat Marathon Man May 21 and was only just bested by him July 16. Worked hard on that occasion.Interesting draw for him here but he's the best horse.
COMMANDER CATHY has been the best performed coming into this futurity final with four wins this winter. Starved for racing opportunities of late but showed her readiness with an easy workout win last Friday at Pukekohe running home in 56.5 and 27.0. Tough draw but racing great.
ART NOUVEAU has stepped up lately and recorded two wins in his last two starts. Not raced since May 28 but looked a big improver winning a workout and beating Melanion July 10. Also in the beaten brigade there was Callie's Delight who won the feature pace here since then. A strong chance.
HESASHORETHING is another find this winter. Back to his best July 16 with a rousing never say die victory. Drawn out here but sure to be sent forward. Add's to the mix.
JOHN WAYNE had every possible chance July 16 when trailing throughout but wasn't able to run down Hesashorething. Needs to lift to win.
CHRIS KYLE should lead early and as the leading players are drawn wide he can pick and choose who he follows. Placed in four of seven runs here.
2 Drum Withers
1 The Blue Beat
8 Dun It Bad
DRUM WITHERS was a game third first time out for the Hollis and Robertson stable. This is a very winnable race and has a lovely draw. Top pick.
THE BLUE BEAT continues on her amazing run of drawing barrier one. Has drawn there in five of her last seven starts. Not a quick front line which helps as she is not fast away but dangerous with a peg run.
MEETMEINSORRENTO gets a major reversal in fortunes tonight with the barrier draws. Has taken advantage of a golden run in the draws with narrow placings. Going well enough to overcome the alley.
DUN IT BAD has done nothing here in three runs but hasn't struck a race like this before. Barrier eight hurts and was only very average last week at Cambridge but is next best.
3 The Governator
9 Errol D
7 Cyber Attack
5 Cyclone Lebron
THE GOVERNATOR is an impressive looking trotter. Aldebaran Flame beat him narrowly last time and she had already won a race. Has manners too. Should win.
ERROL D has been a nightmare this preparation. Signs are there in his last two workouts that he is starting to settle down, Just pipped by four win trotter Liaison last Friday at the trials. He has made a lot of messes at this track but give him one last chance.
CYBER ATTACK blew to bits out of barrier one two weeks ago. That was after being taken off the unruly but returns to it tonight. That will help markedly and can't be left out.
CYCLONE LEBRON has the manners but lacks the speed to win these races. Needs the talented ones to make errors but is one you can bet your life on to behave.
AARDIEBYTHEHILL is talented but still very green and best of the rest.
Best Bet: Race 5 (7) Manhattan
Each Way Value: Race 4 (5) My Royal Roxy